Recent data point to a swiftly fading rebound in China from the reopening at end-2022, but GDP growth should still remain above the 2023 government target of 5% as consumption normalises and policy support buttresses infrastructure investment, says Fitch Ratings. We expect growth to hold up relatively well, albeit on a slowing trajectory, at 4.8% in 2024 and 4.7% in 2025..

Meanwhile, US economy has been buttressed by cannibalizing Europe where things are rapidly deteriorating.